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2020/03/13 / Erste Group Research

Equity Weekly


Die Unsicherheit über die Auswirkungen des Corona-Virus auf die globale Wirtschaft hat die Aktienmärkte im Griff. Die starke Abwärtsbewegung der globalen Leitindizes dauerte letzte Woche an. Der Weltaktienindex der entwickelten Märkte fiel in EUR um -18,7%.

Die globale Gewinnprognose weist derzeit einen stetig fallenden Trend auf. Erst wenn deutlich rückläufige Ansteckungsraten eine Stabilisierung der Situation absehbar machen und staatliche Maßnahmen zur Eindämmung des Virus ihren Höhepunkt überschritten haben, gehen wir von einer Beendigung der Korrektur an den Aktienmärkten aus.

Der Höhepunkt der aktuellen Verunsicherung durch die rasche Virusausbreitung ist noch nicht erreicht. Die Leitindizes der entwickelten Märkte sollten daher kurzfristig sehr volatil bleiben. Die Abschwächung dürfte - voraussichtlich unterbrochen durch technische Gegenbewegungen - weiter andauern.

Das weltweit weiter auf dem Vormarsch befindliche Corona-Virus verursacht Panik an den Aktienmärkten, der ATX knickt in den vergangen Tagen regelrecht ein. Auch wenn sich ein Ende des Abwärtstrends kaum abschätzen lässt, spricht einiges für eine zumindest vorübergehende Beruhigung der Aktienmärkte.

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General information

AuthorErste Group Research
Date2020/03/13
Languagede
Product nameEquity Weekly
Topic in focusEquities
Economy in focusAustria
Currency in focusEuro
Sector in focusChemicals, Construction & Material, Industrial Goods & Services, Oil & Gas
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Austrian PostAT0000APOST417
LenzingAT000064450515
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