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2024/03/29 / Erste Group Research

Globales Gewinnwachstum legt zu


Der globale Aktienmarktindex stieg in der letzten Woche in EUR um +0,6%. Der Stoxx 600 stieg ebenfalls um +0,6%, der S&P 500 befestigte sich in EUR um +0,8%. Der Nikkei 225 (in EUR: -0,8%) und der globale Emerging Market Index (in EUR: -0,2%) schwächten sich hingegen ab.

Aktien Global: Für den globalen Aktienmarktindex wird für heuer ein Umsatzwachstum der Unternehmen um +4,1% (J/J) und ein Gewinnwachstum um +6,8% prognostiziert. Für 2025 wird eine Beschleunigung des Umsatz- und des Gewinnwachstums erwartet. Die Gewinne sollten dann um +10,4% (J/J) ansteigen bzw. die Umsätze um +4,9% (J/J). Die mittelfristigen Aussichten für die Unternehmen sind demnach positiv.

Ausblick: In der kommenden Woche gibt es von den global relevanten Unternehmen nur noch von Samsung Electronics (Kaufen) Quartalsergebnisse. Die Berichtssaison für das 1Q beginnt in den USA dann erst am 12.4. mit den Ergebnissen der Großbanken. Wir erwarten, dass der globale Aktienmarktindex in der nächsten Woche seitwärts tendieren wird.

Aktien Österreich: Der ATX konnte mit einem Wochenplus von 1,5% die 3,500-Punkte-Marke erfolgreich überspringen und tastete sich gestern bis knapp an 3,560-Punkte heran – den Jahreshöchststand des letzten Jahres. Bis auf zwei Titel schlossen alle ATX-Werte im positiven Bereich, angeführt von der AT&S mit einem Plus von 14,5%. Ein positiver Ausblick von Micron sowie die Meldung, dass zwei IC-Substrate-Kunden stark von der AI-Nachfrage profitieren, sorgten für Rückenwind. Das Chartbild für den ATX kommende Woche ist positiv, der Widerstand beim Vorjahreshoch sollte überschritten werden.

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General information

AuthorErste Group Research
Date2024/03/29
Languagede
Product nameEquity Weekly
Topic in focusEquities
Economy in focusAustria
Currency in focusEuro
Sector in focusIndustrial Goods & Services, Oil & Gas, Real Estate, Technology
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